Monday, September 23, 2019

"An unsophisticated forecaster uses statistics as a drunken man uses lamp-posts - for support rather than for illumination. " -- Andrew Lang, (1844-1912)

Hello fellow citizens of the world, those created in the image of God, and every single one of us is in need of His help and provision. Every single moment of every single day! Amen. It's good to catch back up with you on this Monday, September 23, 2019. We have seven days to go to finish September and I heard some distressing news from our local weather prognosticators. No cold/cool fronts anytime soon. I know. I had previously reported we were supposed to have some overnight low 60's before the month is out. I did. I was reporting what was predicted by those who supposedly get paid to know. They have since updated their projections. The only good news I saw on their calendar was the record low recorded in September of 39 degrees. I'm not sure when that low was achieved. I did discover one thing. The state-of-the-art instrumentation and recording capabilities does one thing well. It can tell you precisely every iota of what happened weather-wise looking back in the previous time period. By the minute if you want that level of detail. Maybe they are like the crawdads. They swim backward because they are more interested in where they have been than where they are going. (My granddad used to accuse me of having similar traits.) And, for you purists, here's the factoid about how they travel: "Crawfish walk forward, but swim backward using their abdomen muscles. They actually move much faster backward while swimming."

Since I like to be informed, here's some useful information so each of us can do our own weather predicting. It comes from the Farmers Almanac for Kids edition:

~ Ready for do-it-yourself weather-predicting? Long before meteorologists had sophisticated technology to help them predict the weather, people made forecasts based on their observations of the sky, animals, and nature. Many of the traditional sayings they used, called proverbs, are surprisingly accurate. Try out some old-fashioned forecasting—that still works today!

WEATHER SAYINGS AND MEANINGS

THE HIGHER THE CLOUDS, THE FINER THE WEATHER.” If you spot wispy, thin clouds up where jet airplanes fly, expect a spell of pleasant weather. Keep an eye, however, on the smaller puff clouds (cumulus), especially if it’s in the morning or early afternoon. If the rounded tops of these clouds, which have flat bases, grow higher than the one cloud’s width, then there’s a chance of a thunderstorm forming.

CLEAR MOON, FROST SOON.” When the night sky is clear, Earth’s surface cools rapidly—there is no cloud cover to keep the heat in. If the night is clear enough to see the Moon and the temperature drops enough, frost will form. Expect a chilly morning!

WHEN CLOUDS APPEAR LIKE TOWERS, THE EARTH IS REFRESHED BY FREQUENT SHOWERS.” When you spy large, white clouds that look like cauliflower or castles in the sky, there is probably lots of dynamic weather going on inside. Innocent clouds look like billowy cotton, not towers. If the clouds start to swell and take on a gray tint, they’re probably turning into thunderstorms. Watch out!

RAINBOW IN THE MORNING GIVES YOU FAIR WARNING.” A rainbow in the morning indicates that a shower is in your near future.

RING AROUND THE MOON? RAIN REAL SOON.” A ring around the moon usually indicates an advancing warm front, which means precipitation. Under those conditions, high, thin clouds get lower and thicker as they pass over the moon. Ice crystals are reflected by the moon’s light, causing a halo to appear.

RAIN FORETOLD, LONG LAST. SHORT NOTICE, SOON WILL PASS.” If you find yourself toting an umbrella around for days “just in case,” rain will stick around for several hours when it finally comes. The gray overcast dominating the horizon means a large area is affected. Conversely, if you get caught in a surprise shower, it’s likely to be short-lived.

RED SKY AT NIGHT, SAILORS DELIGHT. RED SKY IN MORNING, SAILORS TAKE WARNING.” A reddish sunset means that the air is dusty and dry. Since the weather in North American latitudes usually moves from west to east, a red sky at sunset means dry weather—good for sailing—is moving east. Conversely, a reddish sunrise means that dry air from the west has already passed over us on their way easy, clearing the way for a storm to move in.

Observe the sky and see if these weather proverbs work for you. ~

Jesus mentioned weather-predicting during His time here on the earth: "Then the Pharisees and Sadducees came, and testing Him asked that He would show them a sign from heaven. He answered and said to them, “When it is evening you say, ‘It will be fair weather, for the sky is red’;  and in the morning, ‘It will be foul weather today, for the sky is red and threatening.’ Hypocrites! You know how to discern the face of the sky, but you cannot discern the signs of the times. A wicked and adulterous generation seeks after a sign, and no sign shall be given to it except the sign of the prophet Jonah. And He left them and departed." (Gospel of Matthew, Chapter 16, Verses 1-4) Being able to read the signs and know what the weather might do may have a useful purpose, but, it is of little value if one misses the truths associated with the signs Jesus gave regarding His Person, His Purpose, and His Provision for those who would respond to Him. That, my friend, is still true today. We find ourselves taking action based on the signs reported to us by those who supposedly know, and, often we find ourselves ignoring the true signs given to us by our Lord and Savior. His forecasts can always be believed for they originate from God Himself. Amen. ....More later.

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